Sat05192012

Last update12:07:14 PM

Finance

Peru stands as the best country to do business in Latin America

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Andean displaces Colombia
 
By Ricardo Mendez
 
The Institute of Economic Research (Ifo) of the University of Munich in Germany and the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) released a report showing the progress of Peru in the Economic Climate Index (ICE) with 7.2 points in April, moving Colombia who was first with 6.7 points and ranks as the best destination in Latin America to do business.
 
In this nation, the rate increased from 6.4 to 7.2 points. Other South American nations were also higher in this measurement, like Ecuador, which rose from six to 6.7 points, Chile from 4.9 to 6.2 points, Bolivia from 4.3 to 5 points and Mexico rose from 4, 1 to 4.8 points.
 
However, experts stress that the problem of Peru and Chile is still a lack of skilled labor. Of the 11 countries studied, only three reduced their business rates, the ICE in Argentina fell from 4.7% to 3.4%, Paraguay 4.2% to 3 points and Venezuela from 4.5% to 3.4 % points.
 
ICE is comprised of the Present Situation Index (ISA) and the Expectations Index (EI) in addition to the projection for the next six months which was consulted to149 experts from 18 different countries.
 
As a result of the international economic crisis, the business climate indicator in Latin America recorded its lowest numbers in October 2011 as the estimate done by FGV and Ifo.
 
This classification does not show any changes in Brazil with 6.2 points or Colombia with 6.7 points. The regional ICE has prospered increasing from 5.2 to 5.8 points since July 2011. The indicator went through a decayed since the economic crisis of 2008.
 

Brazil imports foreign labor due to high growth

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By Susana Lima
 
The head of the Secretariat of the Brazilian Federal Budget, Celia Correa, said that after 8 years of public policies in place, these have started to deliver results in the growth and development of the nation, a situation that can be confirmed by the inhabitants. With this growth, the country is the need to import labor and professionals from different parts of Latin America.
 
More than 5 thousand doctors are required to fill vacancies in the health sector in areas of the Amazon Jungle and other territories. Salaries have been offered up to 14,000 dollars a month but still, the number of doctors does not supply the territory. For this reason, during the coming months, Brazil will require the services of doctors and other experts from other countries, especially from Cuba. It is even trying to change the current law that prevents to hire professionals from other countries due to the impairment of language and to achieve non-bilingual doctors hiring to cover the deficit.
 
Brazil is experiencing a unique opportunity to distinguish between the largest economies globally through increased exports of raw materials. Although there are still 14 million people in extreme poverty, the immediate challenge is to continue fighting to reduce this gap.
 
Public policies implemented by the Lula government and now with the president Rousseff are intended to reduce the large social deficit that has left decades of social programs such as Bolsa Familia, which transfers incomes to poor families. Investment in infrastructure has also increased, and the average minimum wage has been re valued from $ 80 to $ 500 today.
 
The "My House, My Life" programs also prompted rapid growth in railways, highways, airports, ports, sanitation and housing. The construction took too much momentum and achieved to establish as one of the most important pillars of employment generating more and better jobs. Correa added: There is such a demand in construction that if someone wants to make a home remodeling it is very difficult to hire a mason, a plumber, a carpenter because everyone is busy. In all cases, workers are guaranteed all employment rights.
 
Brazil also intends to move from being a raw materials exporter to a country of manufactured products. Programs that are being promoted for this purpose are the funding of scholarships and academic exchanges with universities worldwide over the next 4 years to 6 thousand students from engineering and various applied sciences.
 

Paraguay requires payment adjustment for Acaray energy sold to Argentina

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By Susana Lima
 
Paraguay's government declared that it will negotiate the renewal of the payment it receives from Acaray energy sold to Argentina. Deputy Minister of Mines and Energy, Mercedes Canese announced that will organize a meeting with Argentine authorities to continue the debate on adjustment. Canese explained that every three months such negotiations and meetings are done, so they expect to arrange a meeting with Argentina next week.
 
The delegate said that Paraguay had proposed an adjustment formula that considered the price of oil but Argentina approached with a counteroffer. Meanwhile the debate continues, the price had to be increased according to the Chair Office.
 
Canese said: Now that winter comes, the market price is much higher still, we hope to reach an agreement on the formula, which is completely transparent because oil prices are published and gives predictability to Argentina.
 
The energy transfer from the dam is made from Carlos Antonio Lopez, in Itapúa, until El Dorado, in the province of Misiones. Argentina pays up to $ 150 a megawatt hour for Acaray electricity  while Yacyretá power is purchase at U.S. $ 9 megawatt per hour according to the rates published in November 2011.
 
Acaray production also aims to cover the Uruguayan market; however this has not materialized due to problems with Argentina. Paraguay is also studying the possibility of offering their energy to Brazil with the purpose of not relying on Argentina’s infrastructure. The country will prepare a proposal for Brazil on an interest statement about this topic.
 

Colombia signed FTA with North Korea

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By Jorge Barrios

Countries South Korea and Colombia made ​​the Sixth Round of Negotiations on a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) in the Colombian resort of Cartagena between next Monday and Friday,  as announced by the Ministry of Foreign Trade.

Among the topics to be discussed regarding the agreements between the nations mentioned, are what they called "chapters on Market Access, Investment, Origin Rules, Sanitary and Phytosanitary Cooperation, Trade and Sustainable Development, Intellectual Property and Public Procurement".

 

Minimum wage increased in Venezuela to 32.25%

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By Gabriela Cardona

Hugo Chavez, president of Venezuela, announced over the weekend a 32.25% increase in the minimum wage to reach 2.047 bolivars, equivalent to $ 476.

The increase will be implemented in two parts: first, on May 1st, on Labor Day, a 15% will be included thus reaching the 1, 780.45 bolivars equivalent to $ 414. The second will be effective until September 1st and will add the missing percentage of 17.25% to raise the minimum wage to the advertised amount of 2,047 bolivars.

Brazil lowers its tax rate

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By Carlos Aguirre

According to the president of Brazil, Dilma Rousseff, the best way for Brazil to achieve combat slowing economic growth and inflation is to encourage private investment through tax cuts.

Rousseff said: Today (...) I met some of the most important Brazilian businessmen and held an open dialogue of ideas on how to attack our most crippling economic distortions.

Colombia and Japan finalized a meeting for a study of economic agreement

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By Robert Damon

The Colombian Foreign Minister Maria Angela Holguin, arrived on Thursday in Tokyo, where a meeting closed to study the possible negotiation of an Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) between her country and Japan, diplomatic sources said in Colombia.

The meeting, attended by the Japanese Deputy Minister of Parliamentary Affairs, Toshiyuki Kato, was used by both delegations to agree to stay close and organized to hold a third session of study in Bogota with a view to negotiating an EPA.

Inbound tourism with 33% growth recorded in January

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By Tony Paul

Venezuela received about 74,000 foreign visitors in January 2012, representing 33% growth over the number of people who came to the country in January of  last year, said Thursday the minister of tourism, Alexander Fleming.

In interview on Toda Venezuela, broadcast by Venezolana de Televisión, Fleming said January was very positive for them, even surpassing the expectations they had of a similar growth of 12%, 13% which was a result of 2011, but no, they had a growth of 33% in January 2012, which is close to 74,000 people.

IGP-DI rises 0.30%

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By Lara Holmes

Brazil.- This index refers to the General Price Index – Internal Availability. It is calculated by the FGV between the first and the last day of the month. Its publication is made on the 10th day of the following month. It measures prices that directly affect the economical activity of the country, except exports.

In 12 months, the index is up 4.29% for January

Venezuela: 372 Million USD for Science

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By Eliane Portillo

Venezuela, through the National Fund for Science and Technology, raised 1.6 billion bolivars (about 372 million USD) during 2011 to fund scientific projects, said Friday the Ministry of Science and Technology (MCT).

The MCT Deputy Minister for Scientific Development, Guillermo Barreto, said that with the reform of the Organic Law on Science, Technology and Innovation (Locti) adopted in December 2010, the contributions of public and private companies are deposited in the Fund for these purposes.

With these resources, the authorities determine projects to be funded in accordance with the planned strategic areas such as environment, health, food security, telecommunications, security and defense, education, politics and society, says the report released by the MCT. According to the report, at least 750 projects in the portfolio of the Research Incentive Program will be financed with those funds.

 

Bolivian Mining exports reach 3.3 billion US

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By Eliane Portillo

At an accountability hearing, Minister of Mining and Metallurgy Jose Pimentel said that these figures, which had a significant increase in the last two years, managed to regain the position as the engine of the Bolivian economy.

Bolivia's mining exports reached 3.3 billion USD in 2011 due to high prices of mineral.

Of this amount, about 164 million were designated as mining royalties and 272 million as taxes, Pimentel said.

Colombia- Credit to reach 35% of GDP in 2011

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By Eliane Portillo

Domestic credit to Colombia's private sector and the nonfinancial public sector will likely approach 35% of GDP in 2011, up from 28% in 2006, but a lack of inclusion still persists in the financial system, S&P said in a report.

As a share of GDP, domestic lending in Colombia is now larger than in Mexico and Peru, but much of the population remains outside the formal banking sector, as less than 60% of Colombia's population has a savings account. 

Ecuador will strengthen cultural heritage protection with IDB support

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By Fernando Álvarez: Ex IMF Economist
 
Ecuador will carry out a broad program to protect and restore its cultural heritage with the help of a loan for $37.8 million from the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB). The program, which will be carried out by the Ministry for Cultural Heritage Coordination, includes some 10 large demonstration projects and asset recovery initiatives in various cities in the country. The country’s National Institute of Cultural Heritage estimates that Ecuador has some three million cultural heritage material assets, of which only 2.7 percent are registered.
 
This low level of registration hinders Ecuador’s efforts to protect, conserve and recover the country’s cultural wealth. Among assets lacking registration are more than 1.3 million pieces of art, 1.2 million archaeological artifacts, 40,000 pieces of real estate, 15,000 archaeological sites, 4,000 institutional files, 2,000 collections of documents, and 80 historical archives. The IDB loan is expected to finance the registry of more than 300,000 cultural property assets over the next five years.
 
Registering and systematizing information on cultural heritage will help to improve the country’s ability to formulate public policies to support development. The preservation and restoration of the country’s cultural heritage is a priority area of work for the government, on a par with social and economic sectors.
 
The demonstration projects will be carried out in the municipalities of Zaruma-Portovelo (Zaruma is a UNESCO Cultural Heritage Site candidate), in Santa Elena (the location of Valdivia, considered the cradle of Ecuadorian archeology) and in Puyo, which will serve as a model for the country’s Amazon region. Recuperation and protection activities will also be carried out in the municipalities of Ambato, Vinces, Gualaceo, Rocafuerte, and the Malqui-Machay archaeological zone in Cotopaxi.
 
The projects were selected objectively on the basis of technical relevance, planning, geographic distribution, number of previous interventions, state of preservation, and potential benefit to priority subsectors (transport, construction, business, environment, and tourism). The program also includes implementation of management models for sustainable protection and innovative methodologies.
 
The IDB loan was extended for a 25-year term with a five-year grace period and an interest rate based on LIBOR.
 

Paraguayan Government to analyze national economic situation

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By Eliane Portillo

The economic team of the Paraguayan government will analyze a series of situations of internal and external nature affecting the national financial system, in order to evaluate and adopt decisions next week.

Dionisio Borda, Minister of Finances, announced the meeting Wednesday to consider topics such as the rising cost of petroleum, the devaluation of the local currency compared to the dollar, the impacts of the drought, the foot and mouth disease and forest fires.

Problems with Bogotá set back EU-Peru and Colombia FTA signing

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By Susana Lima

Rafael Roncagliolo, Peruvian representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on Monday that due to difficulties between Bogota and Brussels, the European Union has delayed the approval of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with Colombia and Peru.

The Chancellor said in a statement: The treaty will come out, there are more difficulties with Colombia then with Peru because it is a multipart agreement with the two countries. I am very optimistic about the output of the Free Trade Agreement. I have met with all groups in the European Parliament.

Chile-Higher provisions seen impacting profits in 2012, loans growing 8-9%

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By Eliane Portillo

Chilean banks' profits will likely be impacted in 2012 as a riskier environment will lead to higher provisions as well as a lower contribution from inflation, local financial services firm Celfin analyst Jeanne Marie Benoit told.

The sector's total net profits were down 9.1% in November compared to the same month 2010 at 123bn pesos (US$241mn) led by a 121% increase in provisions, weaker fee income and a negative FX contribution. 

ILO: Former President of Chile Michelle Bachelet presents report on social protection floor to President Dilma Rousseff of Brazil

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By Fernando Álvarez: Ex IMF Economist
 
The President of Brazil, Dilma Rousseff, received on 15 December from the Executive Director of UN Women, Michelle Bachelet, the Portuguese version of the report "Social Protection Floor for a Fair and Inclusive Globalization". The report calls for the implementation of a social protection floor in order to stimulate economic growth and increase social cohesion in light of the economic crisis.
 
"Today, we are undergoing very difficult time in the international arena. The economic situation in developed countries is very dramatic and, to a certain point, detrimental to their populations. We are concerned that the process of adjustment does not represent a reduction or loss of rights and guarantees", said President Rousseff, citing the high unemployment rates recorded by these countries, particularly among young people.
"Today, we are seeing unemployment levels that lead to dramatic loss of quality of life; governments need to break the growing dissonance between the voice of the streets and the voice of the markets," President Dilma said during a ceremony at the Presidential Palace, seat of the Brazilian government. “We know from experience, developed since 2003 in Brazil, that investing in social protection is an extremely effective way to fight poverty, to reduce inequalities, to improve living standards, and to foster social cohesion and stability".
 
The concept of a social protection floor adopted by the United Nations and the G20 represents an integrated and coordinated policy of income transfer combined with access to basic essential health services, education, sanitation, nutrition, employment, and housing among others. The ILO, in cooperation with other UN agencies, is working with the goal of eradicating extreme poverty worldwide through programs that combine transfers of resources, access to basic services and productive inclusion in the form of social floors - the program Brazil without Poverty constitutes an example of such a policy.
 
Mrs. Bachelet, the former President of Chile also heads the Advisory Group on Social Protection Floor, which prepared the report, published by the ILO. "During the preparation of this report, we had the opportunity to demonstrate how social protection policies have avoided the worst of the economic crisis, especially among the most vulnerable, supported demand and boosted economic recovery in Brazil and several other emerging countries," said Mrs. Bachelet said.The report notes that of the 7 billion people worldwide, 5.1 billion lack access to adequate social protection, while only just above 15 percent of the unemployed worldwide receive some form of unemployment benefits. During the ceremony, Executive Director of the ILO, María Angélica Ducci, and the Minister of Social Development of Brazil, Tereza Campelo, signed a protocol of intent to cooperate in the areas of social protection, poverty eradication and productive inclusion for decent work.
 
In her speech at the Presidential Palace, Mrs. Bachelet highlighted some points of the report:
 
1) 1.4 billion people living in extreme poverty on less than $ 1.25 per day.
 
2) 925 million people suffer from chronic hunger.
 
3) 884 million people lack access to safe drinking water, while 2.6 billion lack access to sanitation.
 
4) 796 million adults are illiterate.
 
5) About 75 percent of the world's population still has no adequate social security coverage.
 
Social protection - and, in particular, the concept of social protection floor - is increasingly regarded as a fundamental tool for development in various international fora, as happened recently at the G20 Summit in Cannes and on the Millennium Development Goals, held in New York in September.
 
The UN has designated the social protection floor as one of its nine initiatives in response to the crisis. Led by the ILO and the World Health Organization, it aims to promote a set of basic rights and social transfers, as well as essential services in the areas of employment, health, water and sanitation, nutrition, education and family support, to protect and empower the poorest and most vulnerable so they can escape poverty.
 

Bancolombia share issue may point to future acquisition abroad

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By Eliane Portillo

Bancolombia´s recent authorization to issue preferred shares will provide the bank, Colombia's largest, with increased flexibility in its funding sources, which can be used to support future growth, either organically or through an acquisition, head of research at local brokerage Interbolsa José Fernando Restrepo told.

M&A in the Latin American banking sector will remain vibrant throughout 2012 with growth opportunities through purchases both in Colombia and abroad. However, my feeling is that Bancolombia will likely opt for the latter, Restrepo said.

Bancolombia's board changed the terms for issuing and placing the preferred shares, reducing to 46mn from 80mn the number to be issued.

The number of preferred shares authorized represents a dilution of 8.1%, including common and preferred shares.

Some analysts believe acquisitions in the domestic market are currently expensive, as foreign investors are willing to enter Colombia paying premium prices due to the strong growth potential of the country's economy and banking sector.

Brazil: World fifth economy by 2015

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By Eliane Portillo

Minister of Finance Guido Mantega said that Brazil will outpace France and will become the fifth largest economy worldwide by 2015, only led by the United States, China, Japan and Germany.

In remarks to journalists in Sao Paulo, Mantega said that this is a forecast made by the International Monetary Fund, but he personally considers that Brazil will outpace France earlier than expected because of difficulties to be faced by the European nations in the next few years due to the financial crisis.

Peru- Retail loans grow 22% in year through November

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By Eliane Portillo

Peru's banking system recorded a total of 54.7bn soles (US$20.3bn) in retail loans at the end of November, up 21.8% on the same time last year, according to a press release from banking association Asbanc.

Retail lending rose 2.46% compared to end-October.

At the end of November, the retail loan market had the following breakdown: consumer loans (22.3bn soles), mortgages (19.0bn soles), small business loans (10.9bn soles) and microenterprise financing (2.5bn soles).

The non-performing loan (NPL) ratios for retail loans remained low at the end of November, with the highest recorded in the small business segment at 4.72%, and the lowest in the mortgage segment at 0.88%.

 

 

Brazil: Petrobras predicts sales growth during 2012 despite crisis

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By Susana Lima

José Sergio Gabrielli, Petrobras president said that despite the international economic crisis, the company forecasts a growth in sales in 2012 and ease of borrowing on international markets.

During a press conference in Rio de Janeiro, Gabrielli said: The international financial crisis is not a major problem for oil companies. Most companies planned to increase their investments in 2012 and the fuel market is growing.

Retraction of fuel consumption in the U.S., Europe and Japan was offset by the increase in demand from Russia, India, China and other emerging countries.

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